You want to plan an accelerated life test to estimate the 1000-hour reliability of an incandescent light bulb at the design voltage of 110 volts. You have 20 light bulbs available to test until failure. To accelerate failures, you will run the test at 120 volts and 130 volts.
You believe that a power relationship will adequately model the relationship between failure time and voltage. Historical data indicate that a lognormal distribution with a scale of 50 appropriately models light bulb failure. The planning values are 1200 for the 50th percentile at 110 volts and 600 for the 50th percentile at 120 volts.
1 Choose Stat > Reliability/Survival > Test Plans > Accelerated Life Testing.
2 Under Parameter to be Estimated, choose Reliability at time, then enter 1000.
3 In Sample sizes or precisions as distances from bound of CI to estimate, choose Sample size, then enter 20.
4 From Distribution, choose Lognormal. From Relationship, choose Ln (Power).
5 In Shape (Weibull) or scale (other distributions), enter 50.
6 Under Specify planning values for two of the following, do the following:
7 Click Stresses.
8 In Design stress, enter 110. In Test stresses, enter 120 130. Click OK in each dialog box.
Session window output
Accelerated Life Testing Test Plans
Uncensored data Power model
Estimated parameter: Reliability at time = 1000 Calculated planning estimate = 0.501455 Design stress value = 110
Planning Values Percentile values = 1200, 600 for percents = 50, 50 at stresses = 110, 120
Planning distribution: Lognormal base e Intercept = 44.5349, Slope = -7.96617 and Scale = 50
Selected test plans: “Optimum” allocations test plans
Total available sample units = 20
1st Best “Optimum” Allocations Test Plan
Test Percent Percent Sample Expected Stress Failure Alloc Units Failures 120 100 65.7524 13 13 130 100 34.2476 7 7
Standard error of the parameter of interest = 0.283150
2nd Best “Optimum” Allocations Test Plan
Test Percent Percent Sample Expected Stress Failure Alloc Units Failures 120 100 65 13 13 130 100 35 7 7
Standard error of the parameter of interest = 0.283185
3rd Best “Optimum” Allocations Test Plan
Test Percent Percent Sample Expected Stress Failure Alloc Units Failures 120 100 70 14 14 130 100 30 6 6
Standard error of the parameter of interest = 0.284363 |
To estimate the 1000-hour reliability at the design voltage of 110 volts, test 13 units until failure at 120 volts and 7 units until failure at 130 volts.