Example of creating an estimation test plan
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You want to run a life test to estimate the 5th percentile for the life of a metal component used in a switch. You can run the test for 100,000 cycles. Before running this life test, you want to determine the number of units to test to ensure a precise estimate.

You expect about 5% of the units to fail by 40,000 cycles, 15% by 100,000 cycles, and the life to follow the Weibull distribution. You want the lower bound of your confidence interval to be within 20,000 cycles of your estimate.

1    Choose Stat > Reliability/Survival > Test Plans > Estimation.

2    Under Parameter to be Estimated, choose Percentile for percent, then enter 5.

3    From Precisions as distances from bound of CI to estimate, choose Lower bound, then enter 20000.

4    From Assumed distribution, choose Weibull.

5    Under Specify planning values for two of the following, do the following:

·    In the first Percentile, enter 40000. In Percent, enter 5.

·    In the second Percentile, enter 100000. In Percent, enter 15.

6    Click Right Cens.

7    Under Type of Censoring, choose Time censor at, then enter 100000. Click OK in each dialog box.

Session window output

Estimation Test Plans

 

 

Type I right-censored data (Single Censoring)

 

Estimated parameter: 5th percentile

Calculated planning estimate = 40000

Target Confidence Level = 95%

Precision in terms of a one-sided confidence interval that gives a lower bound

     for the parameter.

 

Planning Values

Percentile values 40000, 100000 for percents 5, 15

 

Planning distribution: Weibull

Scale = 423612, Shape = 1.25859

 

 

                                  Actual

Censoring             Sample  Confidence

     Time  Precision    Size       Level

   100000      20000      52     95.0190

Interpreting the results

To estimate the 5th percentile with a one-sided lower confidence bound within 20,000 cycles of the estimate, you must test 52 components for 100,000 cycles.